Bologna vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Bologna
İTA
2-2
HT 1-1
Bologna
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Bologna
İTA
3-2
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTA
Bologna 3-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna cruised past Salernitana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Bologna had 70% of the ball to Salernitana's 30%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.61 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Bologna and 1.40 for Salernitana.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Salernitana?
Bologna 3-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie A on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Salernitana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bologna 67%, draw 18%, Salernitana 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.