Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.75
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 25% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.92
1/2
13%
29.5
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.71
X/2
12%
5.45
X/X
13%
4.32
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.66
2/X
4%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.23/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.17
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.6 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Udinese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.36 xG 1.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
422 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 29
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
12.02.2023 Udinese Udinese 2-2 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
11.09.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-3 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.05.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
07.11.2021 Udinese Udinese 3-2 HT 2-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
06.03.2021 Udinese Udinese 2-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-1
AWAY Udinese
1.20 xG 1.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
397 Passes 256
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo and Udinese shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sassuolo had 60% of the ball to Udinese's 40%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sassuolo and 2.17 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Udinese?

Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 34%, draw 28%, Udinese 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Udinese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ BTTS Yes
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