Reggiana 0-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Nov 2024

Reggiana
0-2 HT 0-1
Sassuolo
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Reggiana vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.98
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
3%
17.75
X/1
10%
11.5
X/2
10%
4.42
X/X
17%
5.66
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.33
2/X
8%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-8.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.04/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.7 Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards –

Reggiana 0-2 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-2
AWAY Sassuolo
1.77 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
331 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo saw off Reggiana 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Reggiana had 48% of the ball to Sassuolo's 52%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.64 — on chances, Reggiana could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Sassuolo?

Reggiana 0-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 24%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →