FeralpiSalo 1-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 15%
+6% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.46/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.00
-17% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +72%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
293 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-1
AWAY Alcione
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo and Alcione couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. FeralpiSalo carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 61% of the ball to Alcione's 39%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Alcione?

FeralpiSalo 1-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 57%, draw 20%, Alcione 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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