Pineto 1-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.89/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.21
-27% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-0
AWAY Pianese
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto nicked a narrow win over Pianese 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Pineto found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pineto had 53% of the ball to Pianese's 47%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Pianese?

Pineto 1-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pineto 39%, draw 26%, Pianese 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pineto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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