Magdeburg 1-3 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.76
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
11%
6.45
X/2
10%
6.59
X/X
10%
6.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.88
2/X
9%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.2pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 40%
-18% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.36/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.91
-34% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
15.1 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
2.73 xG 2.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
456 Passes 287
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
02.09.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 6-4 HT 2-3 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-3
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.62 xG 1.44
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
448 Passes 291
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin saw off Magdeburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Magdeburg had 59% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 41%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.62 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Magdeburg and 3.50 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin?

Magdeburg 1-3 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 34%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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