Arminia Bielefeld vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arminia Bielefeld v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals
Arminia Bielefeld vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Ingolstadt
AL3
1-3
HT 0-1
Ingolstadt
AL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
2-2
HT 0-0
Arminia Bielefeld
AL2
1-3
HT 1-2
Ingolstadt
AL2
Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics
Arminia Bielefeld edged past Ingolstadt 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 62% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 38%, shots finished 22-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.67 for Ingolstadt.
What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Ingolstadt?
Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Ingolstadt?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 48%, draw 25%, Ingolstadt 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.