Lommel United 1-1 Lokeren-Temse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

Lommel United
1-1 HT 0-1
Lokeren-Temse
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
48%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v Lokeren-Temse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.82/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.14
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.3 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Lommel United 1-1 Lokeren-Temse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-1
AWAY Lokeren-Temse
1.65 xG 0.89
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
664 Passes 197
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Lokeren-Temse couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lommel United had 72% of the ball to Lokeren-Temse's 28%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.65 to 0.89.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse?

Lommel United 1-1 Lokeren-Temse in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Lokeren-Temse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 48%, draw 24%, Lokeren-Temse 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lommel United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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