KRC Genk II 2-3 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
46%
Away Win
61%
-15.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 66%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.58/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.11
+55% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
16.4 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.77 xG 1.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
206 Passes 302
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 40
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.01.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
15.09.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-4 HT 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
2-3
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.11 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 398
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem squeezed past KRC Genk II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 51% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 49%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KRC Genk II and 2.50 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs SV Zulte Waregem?

KRC Genk II 2-3 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 27%, draw 27%, SV Zulte Waregem 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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