Reims 0-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Nov 2024

Reims
0-2 HT 0-1
Lens
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Reims vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
28%
3.11
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
21%
3.85
6+
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.11 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.15
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
11%
7.14
X/2
12%
5.46
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.51
2/X
8%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
1.00/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
-11% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.9 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Reims vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 Passes 430
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FR1
16.12.2023 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
12.05.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
04.09.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
08.05.2022 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.10.2021 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1

Reims 0-2 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
0-2
AWAY Lens
0.85 xG 1.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
379 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens saw off Reims 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lens found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Reims had 51% of the ball to Lens's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Reims and 1.67 for Lens.

What was the final score of Reims vs Lens?

Reims 0-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Reims 33%, draw 27%, Lens 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Under 2.5
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