Reims 1-1 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Feb 2024

Reims
1-1 HT 1-1
Lens
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Reims vs Lens Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.95
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
16%
6.58
X/X
7%
4.37
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.9
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reims v Lens — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reims EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.49
-12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.7 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Reims vs Lens Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reims
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.05 xG 2.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 450
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
12.05.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR1
04.09.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
08.05.2022 Reims Reims 1-2 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1
01.10.2021 Lens Lens 2-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
13.02.2021 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-0 Lens Lens FR1

Reims 1-1 Lens — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reims
1-1
AWAY Lens
1.13 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
406 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reims vs Lens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reims and Lens shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Reims had 54% of the ball to Lens's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.13 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Reims and 1.67 for Lens.

What was the final score of Reims vs Lens?

Reims 1-1 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reims vs Lens?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Reims 44%, draw 25%, Lens 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Reims), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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