Montpellier 3-0 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
17%
3.63
X/2
7%
9.96
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.48
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.83/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.58
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
22.6 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Metz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
354 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
01.05.2022 Montpellier Montpellier 2-2 HT 0-1 Metz Metz FR1
01.12.2021 Metz Metz 1-3 HT 0-2 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
03.02.2021 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
16.12.2020 Montpellier Montpellier 0-2 HT 0-0 Metz Metz FR1
05.02.2020 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
3-0
AWAY Metz
3.01 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
319 Passes 275
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier cruised past Metz 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Montpellier had 54% of the ball to Metz's 46%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 3.01 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Montpellier and 1.17 for Metz.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Metz?

Montpellier 3-0 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 51%, draw 26%, Metz 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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