Brest vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brest v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals
Brest vs Marsilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
1-2
HT 0-0
Brest
FR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Marsilya
FR1
1-4
HT 0-1
Marsilya
FR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
3-1
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
Brest 1-0 Marsilya — Actual Match Statistics
Brest nicked a narrow win over Marsilya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Brest found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Brest had 42% of the ball to Marsilya's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.76 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Brest's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marsilya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brest and 2.00 for Marsilya.
What was the final score of Brest vs Marsilya?
Brest 1-0 Marsilya in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brest vs Marsilya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brest 38%, draw 29%, Marsilya 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brest), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.