Rennes 3-1 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
19%
3.71
X/2
11%
10.5
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
10%
23.75
2/2
8%
8.52
2/X
6%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.95/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.67
+21% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Clermont
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.06 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
434 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-3 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
19.02.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
11.01.2023 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
23.01.2022 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
22.09.2021 Rennes Rennes 6-0 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
26.09.2007 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
3-1
AWAY Clermont
3.74 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
479 Passes 420
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes got the better of Clermont 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rennes had 53% of the ball to Clermont's 47%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 3.74 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rennes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rennes and 0.83 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Clermont?

Rennes 3-1 Clermont in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rennes 52%, draw 24%, Clermont 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✗ BTTS No
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