RC Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.1
X/1
14%
3.81
X/2
6%
9.32
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
11%
7.64
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.53
+17% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.0 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lorient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 377
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
03.06.2023 Lorient Lorient 2-1 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
13.11.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
20.03.2022 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
31.10.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 4-0 HT 3-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
23.05.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-3
AWAY Lorient
1.61 xG 2.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
523 Passes 302
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 19
42 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorient got the better of RC Strasbourg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was RC Strasbourg at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 62% of the ball to Lorient's 38%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.61 to 2.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RC Strasbourg and 0.83 for Lorient.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Lorient?

RC Strasbourg 1-3 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a RC Strasbourg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 50%, draw 27%, Lorient 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RC Strasbourg) ✗ BTTS No
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