East Bengal 1-0 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 29 Nov 2024

East Bengal
1-0 HT 1-0
NorthEast United
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

East Bengal vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.27
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.8 Crosses 12.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

East Bengal vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY NorthEast United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
243 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-2 HT 2-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
04.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 5-0 HT 2-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
08.02.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 3-3 HT 2-2 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
20.10.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 0-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
28.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
17.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL

East Bengal 1-0 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
1-0
AWAY NorthEast United
0.82 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 218
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Bengal squeezed past NorthEast United 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was NorthEast United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, East Bengal had 53% of the ball to NorthEast United's 47%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.82 to 1.23 — on chances, NorthEast United could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for East Bengal and 1.67 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs NorthEast United?

East Bengal 1-0 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated an NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 33%, draw 26%, NorthEast United 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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