NK Varazdin 2-1 Sibenik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.65
6+ Goals
6%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sibenik EU Bookmakers 20%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
1.06/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.38
-5% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.8 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Varazdin
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sibenik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.37 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
326 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2024 Sibenik Sibenik 0-0 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
05.05.2023 Sibenik Sibenik 0-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
04.03.2023 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
28.10.2022 Sibenik Sibenik 1-2 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
20.08.2022 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-2 HT 1-1 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
16.04.2021 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-1 HT 1-0 Sibenik Sibenik HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Varazdin
2-1
AWAY Sibenik
1.76 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
390 Passes 245
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH NK Varazdin vs Sibenik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Varazdin edged past Sibenik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NK Varazdin as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NK Varazdin had 58% of the ball to Sibenik's 42%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for NK Varazdin and 0.67 for Sibenik.

What was the final score of NK Varazdin vs Sibenik?

NK Varazdin 2-1 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Varazdin vs Sibenik?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Varazdin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split NK Varazdin 58%, draw 22%, Sibenik 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Varazdin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Varazdin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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