Heerenveen 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 29 Nov 2024

Heerenveen
1-1 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
15%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
15%
4.68
X/2
8%
12.1
X/X
10%
6.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.3
2/2
8%
8.48
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.87/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.00
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.1 Crosses 16.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
12.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
25.02.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-4 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
07.01.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
12.03.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
21.08.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-2 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

Heerenveen 1-1 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
1-1
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
0.81 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
376 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen and RKC Waalwijk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Heerenveen carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Heerenveen had 48% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 52%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Heerenveen and 1.33 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk?

Heerenveen 1-1 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 55%, draw 22%, RKC Waalwijk 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →