RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.9
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.01
X/2
9%
5.34
X/X
13%
5.03
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.31
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.53/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.53
+8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.5 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.61
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
25.02.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-4 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
07.01.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
12.03.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
21.08.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-2 HT 3-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
14.01.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-1
AWAY Heerenveen
0.66 xG 0.86
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
259 Passes 464
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and Heerenveen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 39% of the ball to Heerenveen's 61%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.66 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.33 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Heerenveen?

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 35%, draw 28%, Heerenveen 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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