AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
0-1
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Vitesse
HOL
6-1
HT 3-0
Vitesse
HOL
2-1
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Vitesse
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar beat Vitesse 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 61% of the ball to Vitesse's 39%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.23 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.83 for Vitesse.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse?
AZ Alkmaar 2-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 52%, draw 28%, Vitesse 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.