Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.78
Over 2.5
57%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.12
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
7%
4.36
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.72
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-9.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+9.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.45/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
20.6 Crosses 19.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
03.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
29.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.09.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.02.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Rotterdam
4-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.84 xG 0.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
350 Passes 277
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam swept aside Fortuna Sittard 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sparta Rotterdam as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 55% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.84 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Rotterdam win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 45%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Rotterdam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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