Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 13 Jan 2024

Fortuna Sittard
0-2 HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.31
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.01
X/2
12%
6.1
X/X
17%
4.27
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.37
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Sittard v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +24%
1.32/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
-24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.9 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 Passes 308
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
29.10.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
16.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
12.09.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 3-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.02.2021 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
13.01.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL

Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
0-2
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
3.43 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
312 Passes 352
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
51 Box Touches 16
43 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam beat Fortuna Sittard 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Sparta Rotterdam found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 48% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 52%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 3.43 to 1.36 — on chances, Fortuna Sittard could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.33 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 39%, draw 29%, Sparta Rotterdam 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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