Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
3-0 HT 1-0
Excelsior
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.54
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
15%
6.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
9%
12.75
X/X
12%
6.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.85
2/2
8%
8.75
2/X
5%
16.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 20%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.84/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.72
+26% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
17.8 Crosses 15.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Excelsior
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 Passes 285
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
14.04.2023 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
29.10.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL
12.05.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
31.10.2020 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
07.09.2019 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2

Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
3-0
AWAY Excelsior
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 45% of the ball to Excelsior's 55%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.00 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?

Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 55%, draw 22%, Excelsior 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
30 Mar 2024
18:30 NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Analysis →
20:45 Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →
22:00 RKC Waalwijk vs Heerenveen Analysis →
23:00 AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse Analysis →