Farense vs Estrela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Estrela — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Estrela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Farense 1-0 Estrela — Actual Match Statistics
Farense nicked a narrow win over Estrela 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Farense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Farense had 41% of the ball to Estrela's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.04 to 0.47.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Farense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Farense and 1.00 for Estrela.
What was the final score of Farense vs Estrela?
Farense 1-0 Estrela in the Portugal - Premier League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Estrela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Farense 39%, draw 28%, Estrela 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.