Kocaelispor 2-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

Kocaelispor
2-0 HT 1-0
Adanaspor
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Kocaelispor vs Adanaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.63
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
35%
3.35
X/2
6%
17.5
X/X
10%
6.44
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
8%
15.2
2/X
5%
23.4
Value flag · X/1 at 3.35 — our 35% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kocaelispor v Adanaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.57/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.78
-50% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.9 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Kocaelispor vs Adanaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.51 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
374 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
01.09.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
21.05.2022 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 4-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.12.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
01.12.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
07.02.2010 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L

Kocaelispor 2-0 Adanaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
2-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.59 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
453 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 5
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor beat Adanaspor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 58% of the ball to Adanaspor's 42%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.83 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Adanaspor?

Kocaelispor 2-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 61%, draw 21%, Adanaspor 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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