Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Nov 2024

Antalyaspor
2-1 HT 1-1
Sivasspor
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
13%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.79
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
11%
7.17
X/X
13%
4.88
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.21
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +26%
1.37/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
+6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.3 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-1 HT 2-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
31.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.03.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.10.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Sivasspor
1.64 xG 1.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
392 Passes 270
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor edged past Sivasspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 57% of the ball to Sivasspor's 43%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.64 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antalyaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.00 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 41%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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