Farnborough 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.9
Over
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.28
2-3
42%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.35
6+
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United The Market 49%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.00/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.85
-24% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
20.08.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 4-2 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
14.01.2014 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough and Ebbsfleet United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Farnborough had 47% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 53%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Farnborough and 2.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?

Farnborough 1-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 26%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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