Dumbarton 0-4 Auchinleck Talbot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Auchinleck Talbot EU Bookmakers 34%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Auchinleck Talbot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auchinleck Talbot swept aside Dumbarton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Auchinleck Talbot?

Dumbarton 0-4 Auchinleck Talbot in the Scotland - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Auchinleck Talbot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 45%, draw 24%, Auchinleck Talbot 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dumbarton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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