Cultural Leonesa 0-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.8
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.7
X/2
16%
6.01
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +30%
0.96/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
-47% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.0 Crosses 18.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Granada
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
404 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2021 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İSPK
22.04.2018 Granada Granada 3-3 HT 1-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
19.11.2017 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
0-1
AWAY Granada
0.77 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 262
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada nicked a narrow win over Cultural Leonesa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Granada found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 54% of the ball to Granada's 46%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.77 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 2.00 for Granada.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Granada?

Cultural Leonesa 0-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 35%, draw 26%, Granada 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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