Beasain 1-1 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beasain EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.31/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.84
+63% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beasain
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Alfaro
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2023 Beasain Beasain 5-0 HT 1-0 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
23.10.2022 Alfaro Alfaro 1-2 HT 0-1 Beasain Beasain İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beasain
1-1
AWAY Alfaro
69% Ball Possession 31%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Beasain vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beasain and Alfaro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Beasain at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Beasain had 69% of the ball to Alfaro's 31%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beasain had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Beasain and 0.50 for Alfaro.

What was the final score of Beasain vs Alfaro?

Beasain 1-1 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beasain vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beasain win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Beasain 46%, draw 31%, Alfaro 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beasain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beasain) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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