Marconi Stallions 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVC, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒04:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
22%
4.52
X/2
11%
9.73
X/X
7%
6.4
2/1
7%
19.9
2/2
6%
6.88
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions squeezed past Moreton City Excelsior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marconi Stallions as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Marconi Stallions 1-0 Moreton City Excelsior in the AVC on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions 53%, draw 24%, Moreton City Excelsior 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marconi Stallions) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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