South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South Melbourne v Heidelberg United — Team-Based Signals
South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
South Melbourne
AVNPL
0-2
HT 0-1
Heidelberg United
AVNPL
South Melbourne edged past Heidelberg United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for South Melbourne and 1.67 for Heidelberg United.
What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?
South Melbourne 1-0 Heidelberg United in the AVC on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?
Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 44%, draw 21%, Heidelberg United 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.