South Melbourne 0-3 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
37%
3.72
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.9pp
37%
Draw
24%
+13.7pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-16.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.6pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 57%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.72/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.54
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Heidelberg United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
196 Passes 206
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-0 HT 1-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
08.03.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
16.08.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-1 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
17.03.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
22.05.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-1 HT 1-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
28.02.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United ran out comfortable winners over South Melbourne 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 37% / 37% — and on the day Heidelberg United made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heidelberg United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for South Melbourne and 1.33 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

South Melbourne 0-3 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 26%, draw 37%, Heidelberg United 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (26/37/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
13 Apr 2025
00:00 Blacktown City Demons vs St. George Saints Analysis →
07:00 Canberra FC vs Yoogali Analysis →
07:00 Charlestown City Blues vs Maitland Analysis →
08:00 Wollongong Wolves vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
08:00 Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden Analysis →
08:00 St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully Analysis →