St. Albans Saints 1-2 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 40%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
2.25/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.55
+32% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
Crosses 17.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Green Gully
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.37 xG 0.75
39% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
186 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 5-0 HT 4-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
04.05.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.08.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
12.05.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
15.07.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.04.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully squeezed past St. Albans Saints 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Albans Saints at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Albans Saints and 1.50 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully?

St. Albans Saints 1-2 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 41%, draw 26%, Green Gully 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans Saints)
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