St. Albans Saints 5-0 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 51%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.13/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.77
-25% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 18.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Green Gully
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.37 xG 0.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
186 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 4-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
19.08.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
12.05.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
15.07.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.04.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.02.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints ran out comfortable winners over Green Gully 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Green Gully at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Green Gully led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for St. Albans Saints and 1.83 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully?

St. Albans Saints 5-0 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated an Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 32%, draw 25%, Green Gully 42%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Green Gully), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Green Gully) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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