APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1-5 HT 0-4
Sydney II
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.46
Over 2.5
69%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-7.0pp
31%
Under 2.5
25%
+5.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
75%
-5.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.9pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers v Sydney II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 33%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +20%
2.53/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.83
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.9 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.22 xG 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
360 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Sydney II Sydney II 1-7 HT 0-5 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
13.08.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
28.04.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 4-0 HT 3-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
25.06.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 4-3 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
18.04.2021 Sydney II Sydney II 2-3 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney II swept aside APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had APIA Leichhardt Tigers at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.00 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 55%, draw 22%, Sydney II 23%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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