Charlestown City Blues 1-0 Maitland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-11.0pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Maitland EU Bookmakers 23%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.26/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/3.38
-44% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
381 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlestown City Blues
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Maitland
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2024 Maitland Maitland 2-2 HT 1-0 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
04.06.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 1-2 HT 1-0 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
18.03.2023 Maitland Maitland 1-2 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
27.07.2022 Maitland Maitland 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
30.04.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-3 HT 1-2 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
04.07.2021 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 2-4 Maitland Maitland AVNPL
POST-MATCH Charlestown City Blues vs Maitland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues edged past Maitland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maitland led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlestown City Blues and 2.17 for Maitland.

What was the final score of Charlestown City Blues vs Maitland?

Charlestown City Blues 1-0 Maitland in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlestown City Blues vs Maitland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Charlestown City Blues 51%, draw 23%, Maitland 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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