Canberra FC 1-0 Tuggeranong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

Canberra FC
1-0
Tuggeranong United
📅11/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra FC v Tuggeranong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.12
+28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Tuggeranong United
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
29.07.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-4 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVTCT
05.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 7-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
15.04.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 1-6 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
13.06.2021 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-1 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
30.08.2020 Canberra FC Canberra FC 1-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra FC nicked a narrow win over Tuggeranong United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Canberra FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Canberra FC and 0.67 for Tuggeranong United.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Canberra FC 1-0 Tuggeranong United in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Tuggeranong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 61%, draw 17%, Tuggeranong United 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
11 Aug 2024
07:30 Charlestown City Blues vs Maitland Analysis →
08:00 Central Coast II vs Wollongong Wolves Analysis →
08:00 St. Albans Saints vs Green Gully Analysis →
08:00 Western Sydney W. II vs Sydney United Analysis →
08:00 Rockdale Ilinden vs Sutherland Sharks Analysis →
10:30 APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney II Analysis →