Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.63
Over 2.5
67%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
34%
-1.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
66%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 18%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.96/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
+16% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.73 xG 0.76
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
331 Passes 339
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-3 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.06.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
05.03.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
10.07.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 HT 2-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
23.04.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-3 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.04.2021 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-4 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden and Sutherland Sharks shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Rockdale Ilinden carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 0.33 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sutherland Sharks?

Rockdale Ilinden 1-1 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 55%, draw 21%, Sutherland Sharks 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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