Sutherland Sharks 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 66%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.06/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
-48% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 22.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutherland Sharks
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.76 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
324 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
05.03.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
10.07.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 HT 2-1 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
23.04.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-3 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
17.04.2021 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-4 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
11.08.2019 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-5 HT 0-2 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden ran out comfortable winners over Sutherland Sharks 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sutherland Sharks and 2.50 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Sutherland Sharks 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutherland Sharks vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sutherland Sharks 22%, draw 21%, Rockdale Ilinden 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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