Clarence Zebras 1-2 Glenorchy Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
4.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
8%
+14.7pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.8pp
59%
Away Win
81%
-21.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clarence Zebras EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenorchy Knights EU Bookmakers 85%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.40/3.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.46/0.56
+53% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +67%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 524 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clarence Zebras
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Glenorchy Knights
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
09.07.2023 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 2-4 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
05.05.2023 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 1-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
20.08.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-3 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
25.06.2022 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights 4-0 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras AVNPL
09.04.2022 Clarence Zebras Clarence Zebras 1-2 Glenorchy Knights Glenorchy Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenorchy Knights nicked a narrow win over Clarence Zebras 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Glenorchy Knights as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenorchy Knights led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Clarence Zebras and 3.00 for Glenorchy Knights.

What was the final score of Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights?

Clarence Zebras 1-2 Glenorchy Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glenorchy Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Clarence Zebras 23%, draw 18%, Glenorchy Knights 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenorchy Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenorchy Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
4 May 2024
06:00 Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints Analysis →
07:00 South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic Analysis →
08:00 Canberra Olympic vs Tuggeranong United Analysis →
08:00 Cooks Hill United vs Edgeworth Eagles Analysis →
08:30 Para Hills Knights vs Adelaide Olympic Analysis →
08:30 Modbury Jets vs White City Woodville Analysis →