South Hobart 5-1 Riverside Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Riverside Olympic EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
3.53/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/4.28
+24% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Riverside Olympic
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 1-6 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
08.07.2023 South Hobart South Hobart 2-1 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic AVNPL
06.05.2023 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 0-6 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
10.09.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 1-0 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic AVNPL
16.07.2022 South Hobart South Hobart 1-1 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic AVNPL
14.05.2022 Riverside Olympic Riverside Olympic 0-6 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart ran out comfortable winners over Riverside Olympic 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day South Hobart made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for South Hobart and 0.50 for Riverside Olympic.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic?

South Hobart 5-1 Riverside Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Riverside Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 33%, draw 33%, Riverside Olympic 33%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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