Green Gully 4-0 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2024

Green Gully
4-0 HT 2-0
St. Albans Saints
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.8pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Green Gully v St. Albans Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Green Gully EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.75/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.15
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.7 Crosses 10.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Green Gully
3W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.75 xG 0.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
288 Passes 186
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-2 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
12.05.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
15.07.2022 Green Gully Green Gully 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.04.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
28.02.2021 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-2 HT 0-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Green Gully ran out comfortable winners over St. Albans Saints 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Green Gully as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Green Gully had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Green Gully and 0.40 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints?

Green Gully 4-0 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Green Gully vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Green Gully win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Green Gully 56%, draw 21%, St. Albans Saints 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Green Gully), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Green Gully) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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