Sydney United 1-3 Rockdale Ilinden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
34%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.6pp
34%
Away Win
48%
-13.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.7pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 52%
+18% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.08/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.62
+19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Rockdale Ilinden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.74 xG 1.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
424 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 HT 4-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
07.04.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
16.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-3 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
02.04.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 3-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
26.06.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-3 HT 0-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden got the better of Sydney United 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Rockdale Ilinden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sydney United and 2.83 for Rockdale Ilinden.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Sydney United 1-3 Rockdale Ilinden in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Rockdale Ilinden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 36%, draw 30%, Rockdale Ilinden 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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