Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-15.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.74/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.57
+16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.3 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Sydney United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
398 Passes 422
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 1-2 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
16.07.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-3 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
02.04.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 3-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
26.06.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-3 HT 0-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
10.04.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 0-2 HT 0-2 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
25.04.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden cruised past Sydney United 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.33 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United?

Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 46%, draw 27%, Sydney United 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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