St. Albans Saints 3-2 Altona Magic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.0pp
33%
Away Win
48%
-14.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 52%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.63/2.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.23/1.08
-58% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 23.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Altona Magic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
3.34 xG 0.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
136 Passes 376
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
16.07.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-4 HT 1-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
14.04.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 5-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
21.08.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-5 HT 0-3 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
15.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
22.05.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Altona Magic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints squeezed past Altona Magic 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day St. Albans Saints made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altona Magic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.67 for Altona Magic.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Altona Magic?

St. Albans Saints 3-2 Altona Magic in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Altona Magic?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 33%, draw 33%, Altona Magic 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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