Altona Magic 1-0 St. Albans Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altona Magic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.13/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.15
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 6.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altona Magic
3W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Albans Saints
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.99 xG 3.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 136
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-4 HT 1-2 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
14.04.2023 Altona Magic Altona Magic 5-1 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
21.08.2022 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-5 HT 0-3 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
15.05.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-1 Altona Magic Altona Magic AVNPL
22.05.2021 Altona Magic Altona Magic 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH Altona Magic vs St. Albans Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altona Magic nicked a narrow win over St. Albans Saints 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Altona Magic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altona Magic had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Altona Magic and 1.60 for St. Albans Saints.

What was the final score of Altona Magic vs St. Albans Saints?

Altona Magic 1-0 St. Albans Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altona Magic vs St. Albans Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altona Magic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Altona Magic 43%, draw 23%, St. Albans Saints 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altona Magic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altona Magic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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