Chateau-Gontier 0-4 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
24%
7.13
Away
63%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
10%
+12.9pp
63%
Away Win
84%
-21.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.3pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateau-Gontier EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
208 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 537 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateau-Gontier
0-4
AWAY Guingamp
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Chateau-Gontier vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp ran out comfortable winners over Chateau-Gontier 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chateau-Gontier had 48% of the ball to Guingamp's 52%, shots finished 6-17.

What was the final score of Chateau-Gontier vs Guingamp?

Chateau-Gontier 0-4 Guingamp in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateau-Gontier vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Chateau-Gontier 13%, draw 23%, Guingamp 63%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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