29/11/2025
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Montceau vs Montpellier Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
17%
Draw
9%
67%
Away Win
86%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montceau v Montpellier — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Montceau
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Montpellier
EU Bookmakers 91%
+54% /
+54%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.49/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.58/1.02
-39%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
-27%
38%
Ball Possession
62%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
6
226 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
492 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
33.2
–
Crosses
28.3
–
Yellow Cards
2.3
POST-MATCH
Montceau vs Montpellier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Montpellier beat Montceau 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
What was the final score of Montceau vs Montpellier?
Montceau 0-2 Montpellier in the France - Cup on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montceau vs Montpellier?
Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Montceau 16%, draw 17%, Montpellier 67%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Montpellier)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
FRK
More France - Cup
29 Nov 2025