ABD (K) 3-0 İtalya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Nov 2025

ABD (K)
3-0 HT 1-0
İtalya (K)
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025

ABD (K) vs İtalya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
9%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
67%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
9%
Away Win
13%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v İtalya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.32/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/3.98
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.3 Crosses 7.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

ABD (K) 3-0 İtalya (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
3-0
AWAY İtalya (K)
2.12 xG 1.21
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
598 Passes 242
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) swept aside İtalya (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ABD (K) had 69% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 31%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.12 to 1.21.

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)?

ABD (K) 3-0 İtalya (K) in the Friendlies on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs İtalya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 68%, draw 23%, İtalya (K) 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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